Central America

Report Date: Mon. May 2, 2016
By Forecaster: Austin Gendron: austin@globalsurfreports.com

Tropical Conditions:
No tropical cyclones at this time


Swell Forecast:
SSW-SW eases through the first half of the week as a reinforcing SW (215-225) from some storm activity near New Zealand earlier last week arrives to help maintain fun surf for a few days.  Nowhere near as powerful, but still had a pretty decent NE trajectory and was able to generate 25-30 foot seas.  The long-period energy should arrive on Tuesday.  It's going to slowly build through the week, blending with the leftovers of this weekend's swell.  This will help maintain deepwater heights around 3 feet.  That should mean surf running waist to head high+ along the exposed coast through the end of the week.

Next bigger pulse we're going to see arrives late Saturday from a low that was SE of New Zealand over the weekend.  The storm produced 30-35 foot seas with a good NE trajectory before moving away from the ice and weakening.  Models continue to show the low producing 20-35 knot winds over the swell as it progresses NE, passing south of French Polynesia over the next day or so.  The 19 to 20-second SSW-SW (210-220) forerunners are due late Saturday through early Sunday building a bit quicker late Sunday into Monday.  It looks like the peak will come Monday with around 4 to 6 feet of deepwater swell at 16 seconds.  Wave heights will build back into the head high to well overhead range with standouts seeing set waves going double overhead.  

A couple more weaker lows are expected to follow over the next few days climbing into the upper latitudes near the Pitcairn Islands where helping produce a series of reinforcing pulses for mid to late next week.

Beyond that, it looks like a stronger storm south of Tahiti next weekend has been downgraded some, but still sticks to that nice NE storm track south of French Polynesia.  We could see this one climb into the mid-latitudes and re-strengthen early next week, but its too early to call right now. Stay tuned.

CHECK OUT solspot.com for more swell info  


Weekly Outlook:
Monday the 2nd SW energy eases into the head high to well overhead range at standouts.

Tuesday the 3rd new SW starts to fill in blending with the easing swell in the water. Wave heights likely to be running chest to overhead+ along the exposed coast.

Wednesday the 4th the blend of old and new SW energy should mean wave heights in the waist to head high+ range, potential for one overhead-overhead+ sets at standouts.

Thursday the 5th Surf holds in the waist to head high+ range.

Friday the 6th more waist to head high+ surf as the SSW swell peaks.

Saturday the 7th the SSW-SW starts to fade a little bit, but should continue to bring waist to head high surf to standouts.

Sunday the 8th new SSW-SW overlapping energy arrives with long periods building through the day.  Standout breaks could be seeing chest to overhead+ surf by late in the day, with potential for bigger sets occasionally.

austin@globalsurfreports.com