Central America

Report Date: Wed. September 21, 2016
By Forecaster: Austin Gendron: austin@globalsurfreports.com

Tropical Conditions:
Keeping an eye on an area of low pressure currently located about 750 miles SSW of Manzanillo, MX.  As of right now the system is producing showers and thunderstorms.  Conditions look like they are favorable for some development.  There's about a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.  There's a 60% chance in the next 5 days.  The models show that the system could recurve back towards the Mainland Coast if it develops... we'll have to wait and see though.


Swell Forecast:
New Zealand swell arrives from the SSW-SW (205-220) and it should start generating some better sized surf for the end of the week.  The swell is expected quickly build Wednesday night and peak late Thursday holding some size through Friday.  During that time the exposed coast is looking at chest high to overhead+ surf with overhead to double overhead+ waves at standouts and magnets.  Size will ease slowly through the upcoming weekend, but should still be fairly solid for a couple of days.

More long-period SSW (190-210) due early to mid next week from a series of lows passing south of the Pitcairn Islands over the next couple of days.  The first arriving with 16 to 17 second periods Monday the 26th, the second following on the 27th with longer 19 to 20 second periods.  A third and possibly the largest of the 3 is due on the 28th.  The combination could be another moderate to plus sized run of surf for at least a couple of days mid to late next week.  Stay tuned.

CHECK OUT solspot.com for more swell info  


Weekly Outlook:
Wednesday the 21st SSW-SW picks up through the day generating chest to overhead surf late in the day at standouts.

Thursday the 22nd the long-period SSW-SW builds to a peak.  Standouts should be running overhead-double overhead+

Friday the 23rd the SSW-SW energy holds with overhead to double overhead+ surf at standouts.

Saturday the 24th wave heights start to relax a little, with the exposed coast seeing chest to head high surf and standouts running head high to well overhead still.

Sunday the 25th swell lingers in the chest to overhead range at standouts, with a few areas still seeing occasionally bigger sets.

Monday the 26th southern hemi swell continues to ease slowly, with waist to head high+ surf at standouts.

Tuesday the 27th New long-period swell arrives early in the morning and steadily builds through the day.  Wave heights should hold for the most part, but there could be some bigger sets late in the day.

austin@globalsurfreports.com