Central America

Report Date: Fri. July 29, 2016
By Forecaster: Austin Gendron: austin@globalsurfreports.com

Tropical Conditions:
The area of low-pressure developing about 850 miles SSW of Baja continues to look like it could possibly develop into a tropical depression over the weekend/early next week.  It doesn't look like its going to produce any swell though.


Swell Forecast:
New SSW-SW (190-220) should be arriving with 19 to 20-second periods today.  It's actually going to be a mix of energy from the same trough that started to produce swell near New Zealand and ended near the Pitcairn Islands.  The blend of long-period energy is expected to quickly build through the start of the weekend peaking late Saturday and Sunday lingering with solid size through Monday.  The surf should be running chest high to overhead+ along the exposed coast.  Standouts are likely to be seeing set waves going a couple feet overhead to well overhead.  Deepwater spots and magnets could see larger surf in the double overhead-double overhead+ range.  Size will ease a little bit more Tuesday next week.

Next Wednesday we're expecting the next swell arrival from the SW (215-225) from the recent system that formed in the mid-latitudes near Tahiti/French Polynesia.  The storm was able to produce 30-35 foot seas with a ENE-NE trajectory.  Although a smaller storm it could end up bringing 3-5 feet of deepwater swell thanks to its proximity and strength.  That means another moderate-plus sized pulse of swell for mid to late next week.  Right now we're looking at 19-20 second forerunners arriving early Wednesday the 3rd.  The swell will steadily build to a peak Thursday, easing into next weekend.  Wave heights at the moment are expected to be a little smaller than this weekend, but standouts should still be running chest to overhead+, with a few areas seeing bigger sets going a couple feet overhead to several feet overhead+.

Looking further out, we're going to see a couple systems moving off the E-NE coast of New Zealand over the next few days.  Current models are showing weaker, quick storms, without much longevity.  The first one could send a small reinforcing SW (215-225) for around the 6th.  Any pulses following over the following days will be smaller and weaker.

Beyond that, the models are showing a more interesting pattern forming late next week, potentially sending some SW swell before the middle of the month.  More updates on that next week.  Stay tuned.

CHECK OUT solspot.com for more swell info  


Weekly Outlook:
Friday the 29th new SSW-SW arrives and is expected to build quickly through the day bringing chest to overhead+ surf.

Saturday the 30th SSW-SW continues to build with more head high to well overhead sets rolling through at standouts.

Sunday the 31st the SSW-SW should peak, with standouts running overhead to well overhead.  Deepwater breaks could be seeing bigger set waves going double to triple overhead.  more average spots will be in the chest to overhead+ range.

Monday the 1st SSW-W swell starts to ease.  Standouts likely to be running chest to overhead+ with a few bigger set waves at top exposures and deepwater spots.

Tuesday the 2nd wav heights continue to back off a little more.  Standouts continue to see chest to overhead surf, with sets going a couple feet overhead at top breaks.

Wednesday the 3rd SW swell building again, wave heights should perk up a little through the day, back to where they were on Tuesday at least by the end of the day.

Thursday the 4th SW swell should start to hit its peak with chest to overhead+ surf.  A few spots might see bigger sets going a couple feet overhead to well overhead+.

austin@globalsurfreports.com