Report Date: Mon. February 27, 2012
Swell Forecast:
(Monday) small SW (210-220) leftovers are going to mean still some surf in the water, but size is dropping, and there isn’t much to back it up in the near future. From what I can see its smaller background swell through the workweek. There could be a couple little bumps here and there, as little pulses of swell ebb and flow, but its looking pretty inconsistent across the board.
We can thank the Southern Hemisphere for the small surf as the Jet Stream has decided to pretty much go zonal for a few days. There could be a couple little SSW (205-215) pulses on the horizon though. There were a couple of little spinners south of the Pitcairn Islands over the weekend that developed some small fetch. Not much swell will looks like its going to make its way into our neck of the woods from these systems, although there could be some small background swell trickling in over the weekend with 14-second periods. The more important aspect of the action down there is that it looks like its going to break down the high pressure in that area, allowing for the storm track to make a move out of the zonal flow, and send some storms to the NE.
Its still about 72 hours out, but the models start to show exactly that happening. High pressure breaks down, and a sizable storm is able to lift up into the upper latitudes just west of Southern Chile. This could create some fetch with a NE trajectory sending some SSW (195-205) swell our way for around the 7th of March. Periods could be around 16 seconds. The storm then appears to continue spinning off the coast of Chile, kicking up a couple more backup pulses to follow closely behind.
We can thank the Southern Hemisphere for the small surf as the Jet Stream has decided to pretty much go zonal for a few days. There could be a couple little SSW (205-215) pulses on the horizon though. There were a couple of little spinners south of the Pitcairn Islands over the weekend that developed some small fetch. Not much swell will looks like its going to make its way into our neck of the woods from these systems, although there could be some small background swell trickling in over the weekend with 14-second periods. The more important aspect of the action down there is that it looks like its going to break down the high pressure in that area, allowing for the storm track to make a move out of the zonal flow, and send some storms to the NE.
Its still about 72 hours out, but the models start to show exactly that happening. High pressure breaks down, and a sizable storm is able to lift up into the upper latitudes just west of Southern Chile. This could create some fetch with a NE trajectory sending some SSW (195-205) swell our way for around the 7th of March. Periods could be around 16 seconds. The storm then appears to continue spinning off the coast of Chile, kicking up a couple more backup pulses to follow closely behind.
Tropical Conditions:
Tropical season is over!
Weekly Outlook:
Today (Monday the 27th) looks very similar to Sunday as the SW swell holds with waist to shoulder high surf at stand out breaks. Periods should be around 13 seconds, and will start backing down probably around evening time.
Tuesday the 28th leftover SW continues to back down with stand out breaks seeing knee to shoulder high surf.
Wednesday the 29th small small small… surf backs down into the knee to waist high range with stand out spots seeing maybe a chest high set rarely.
Thursday the 1st another super small day of ankle to waist high surf at standouts. Pathetic.
Friday the 2nd more background swell, although there could be a little extra bump from the SW (210-220 @ 13 seconds) bringing knee to waist high+ surf at standouts.
Saturday the 3rd, most of the day should continue to see knee to waist high+ as the SW mix and smaller mid-period mess continue. Later on in the evening there could start to be some little peaky forerunners from the Pitcairn swell. Stand out breaks could see some chest high sets with periods around 15 seconds.
Sunday the 4th, spotty SSW (205-215) should be filling in with periods around 13 to 14 seconds. Size could boost up into the waist to head high range at stand out breaks, but it looks like it could be hit or miss. The original fetch wasn’t very ideal, and had a bad trajectory for the region, so just keep that in mind if you get skunked.
Beyond that, it looks like small surf for a few more days, but we could see a small bump showing up around the 7th of March. Stay tuned.
That's it for today, be safe, and get in the water!
~ Austin@globalsurfreports.com
Tuesday the 28th leftover SW continues to back down with stand out breaks seeing knee to shoulder high surf.
Wednesday the 29th small small small… surf backs down into the knee to waist high range with stand out spots seeing maybe a chest high set rarely.
Thursday the 1st another super small day of ankle to waist high surf at standouts. Pathetic.
Friday the 2nd more background swell, although there could be a little extra bump from the SW (210-220 @ 13 seconds) bringing knee to waist high+ surf at standouts.
Saturday the 3rd, most of the day should continue to see knee to waist high+ as the SW mix and smaller mid-period mess continue. Later on in the evening there could start to be some little peaky forerunners from the Pitcairn swell. Stand out breaks could see some chest high sets with periods around 15 seconds.
Sunday the 4th, spotty SSW (205-215) should be filling in with periods around 13 to 14 seconds. Size could boost up into the waist to head high range at stand out breaks, but it looks like it could be hit or miss. The original fetch wasn’t very ideal, and had a bad trajectory for the region, so just keep that in mind if you get skunked.
Beyond that, it looks like small surf for a few more days, but we could see a small bump showing up around the 7th of March. Stay tuned.
That's it for today, be safe, and get in the water!
~ Austin@globalsurfreports.com
